30 last year with a 24.3% pass DVOA. The NFL leader in receiving yardage over the past 1-5 years…, 2018: Julio – 1,677 ✅ Stats powered by. But for Week 1 at least, Thielen and Diggs could still do damage. Let’s start with the two wide receivers at the top of the salary scale. To quote Jefferson Airplane quoting the Dormouse, “Feed your head.”. Start Julio Jones or D.K. For the first 14 weeks of the 2018 season, the Vikings were the second-most pass-heavy team in the league.

} Even when he doesn’t score, Jones is good enough to have a top-five week at the position. text-decoration:none; opacity:.9; But despite his circumstances, OBJ was transcendent, turning overthrows into receptions and short passes into long touchdowns. In fact, he’s progressively led the league in receiving over the past five years. Not Calvin Johnson or Larry Fitzgerald. Start Julio Jones or Michael Thomas in Week 1? Last year the Titans were No. He’s the all-time NFL leader with 96.7 receiving yards per game. But the main problem is that the Falcons are playing at that specific venue. Start Julio Jones or Allen Robinson in Week 1? Start Julio Jones or Amari Cooper in Week 1? .promo_edge:after { It’s hard to quibble with what they accomplished last year.

John Brown, Buffalo Bills ($4,300 DK, $5,500 FD): The Abolitionist is the perfect downfield specialist to catch strong-armed bombs from The Flame-Throwing Arsonist, and the Jets allowed a top-two mark of 45.9 DraftKings points per game to opposing wide receivers last year. T.Y. But Samuel ran 25.7% of his routes out of the slot from Week 12 on, so he should be able to avoid outside cornerbacks Aqib Talib and Marcus Peters for stretches. Last year, Julio led the league with 1,677 yards receiving. Start Julio Jones or Odell Beckham Jr in Week 1? It’s worth mentioning that two of these games were played without quarterback Cam Newton, and in the other four games, he really wasn’t himself because of his lingering shoulder injury. Not Jerry Rice. Since morphing into his top-shelf self in 2014, he’s managed to play as the No.

31 in 2018 with a 24.7% pass DVOA.

After all, OBJ has played just 16 games over the past two years. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts ($6,600 DK, $7,700 FD): Hilton has a tough shadow matchup with cornerback Casey Hayward and is without retired quarterback Andrew Luck, but he still leads all receivers with his FanDuel ceiling projection.

display:inline-block; It’s almost as if Julio’s been the best receiver in the league for a long time, no? They both had similarly high per-game market shares of targets and low average depths of target. And they were both efficient at turning targets into receptions and receptions into yards, as measured by RACR (Receiver Air Conversion Ratio, created by Josh Hermsmeyer of FiveThirtyEight and AirYards.com). Breaking Fantasy Sports News, Lineup Alerts, Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Football, Fantasy Basketball, Daily Fantasy Sports, DFS, Rankings, Mock Drafts Report: Julio Jones expected to play in Week … But he’s too risky for cash games and maybe even GPPs, given his high salary and ownership projection. But there’s a very real chance that the difference between Moore and Samuel is not nearly as great as the market believes. Matthew Freedman is the Editor-in-Chief of FantasyLabs. Samuel hasn’t done all that much to this point in his career: A variety of injuries have sidelined him for stretches of his first two seasons. Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($6,200 DK, $6,900 FD): Godwin has more than 24.0 DraftKings points in two of his six career games with at least 80% of the offensive snaps, and he has a soft matchup against the 49ers. Samuel’s matchup isn’t great: Last year the Rams were No. Maybe the difference is nonexistent — which means that this week we have the opportunity to reach for Moore-level production at a Samuel-priced discount.

Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs ($7,600 DK, $7,600 FD): TyFreak has a position-high eight Pro Trends on FanDuel, where he has averaged 15.5 fantasy points per game (including playoffs) since becoming a full-time contributor in Week 10 of the 2017 season. Pictured above: Julio Jones His dominance is now so routine that it’s almost dumbfoundingly boring. padding:15px;

Diggs has played through six games with an injury tag, and he’s averaged just 37.3 yards and 0.17 touchdowns on 4.3 receptions. background:#ce1141; Thielen and Diggs are both tied for the position lead with seven Pro Trends at DraftKings, where Thielen is the No. Really, what’s the difference between these guys? That definitely could’ve impacted the way he distributed the ball and whom he targeted. 3 fantasy wide receiver, averaging 21.1 DraftKings points despite scoring only 0.43 touchdowns per game (including playoffs). Samuel is simply way too cheap on DraftKings, where he’s the No. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. As a result, his career numbers, though good, don’t seem as voluminously impressive as they otherwise might. Start Julio Jones or JuJu Smith-Schuster in Week 1? Start Julio Jones or Mike Evans in Week 1? Start Julio Jones or Keenan Allen in Week 1? Perhaps no stat more clearly highlights his superiority than yards per route run (per PFF). Samuel didn’t start playing a majority of the offensive snaps until Week 12, but from that point on he was a full-time contributor alongside No. Start Julio Jones or D.K.

And in Weeks 15-17, the team ranked No. ET. Perhaps it’s fair to wonder if OBJ is still the dynamic player he was a few years ago, when he became one of just three players in NFL history — along with Moss and John Jefferson — to open his career with three straight seasons of 1,000 yards and 10 touchdowns receiving. And Diggs also has a position-high +3.15 Projected Plus/Minus on FanDuel, where he’s the unanimous top wide receiver in all our Pro Models. In the words of The Zombies, “This will be our year, it took a long time to come.”. But entering the league, Samuel was a very Percy Harvin-esque type of prospect. He has a dog and sometimes a British accent. Start Julio Jones or T.Y. Julio has never had notable home/away splits, so it’s ostensibly not a big deal for him to be on the road, but over the past three years, his quarterback Matt Ryan has been the most location-influenced passer in the league (per Sharp Football Stats). Moore, and they had surprisingly similar usage and production. And for GPPs, you might want to use our Lineup Builder to stack Beckham with Mayfield. NFL Week 1 Fantasy WR Breakdown: Fade Julio Jones? Moore in Week 1?

No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. Not Randy Moss. Start Julio Jones or T.Y. Hilton on 77.8% of his routes, and Hilton utterly eviscerated him, converting all eight of his targets into receptions and putting up 146 yards and two touchdowns. Copyright 2020 Fantasy Football Calculator | Image Source: Icon Sportswire. Start Julio Jones or D.J. And in his 26 regular-season games with a touchdown since 2014, he’s rocked out with an obscene 28.8 points per game in point-per-reception scoring. Start Julio Jones or Robert Woods in Week 1? Julio can dust any opponent, but his ceiling will be lowered if Ryan struggles, and it’s not hard to imagine that happening.

I have a world of respect for Julio. If Samuel gets the seven targets he averaged last year as a starter, he has a good chance to return value. Start Julio Jones or Kenny Golladay in Week 1? Metcalf in Week 1?

If Diggs misses Week 1, then Thielen goes from being a strategic GPP play to a real option in cash games. Specifically, I break down the guys who stand out in the FantasyLabs Models. There are three wide receivers atop the individual Pro Models that Jonathan Bales, Peter Jennings (CSURAM88), Adam Levitan, Sean Koerner, Chris Raybon, Kevin McClelland (SportsGeek) and I have constructed. But HC Mike Zimmer fired DeFilippo, in part because he wanted the team to run more. Under offensive coordinator John DeFilippo, they had a pass-play rate of 67.0%.

width:100%; Start Julio Jones or A.J.

They went from running 42.8 pass plays per game to 30. For a half decade, one of the greatest receivers of our era was shackled to an overrated and over-the-hill quarterback and a series of unimaginative and curmudgeonly head coaches. In his three games against Zimmer’s Vikings, Julio hasn’t impressed. For updates on Vegas spreads and over/unders, check out The Action Network Live Odds page. Start Julio Jones or Tyreek Hill in Week 1? border-radius:4px; He has the highest median projection among all receivers in our DraftKings Models. It’s not for nothing that OBJ has a position-high ceiling projection on DraftKings. But there is an obvious issue with rostering OBJ this week: Everyone wants him in their lineups. 1 wide receiver D.J. But here’s the thing. Jones (hamstring) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Panthers, Jason Butt of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports. A couple of random touchdowns and a few receptions? Note: Be sure to keep an eye on Diggs’ health status. Last year, the Vikings were No. NFL Week 1 Fantasy WR Breakdown: Fade Julio Jones? And if the Titans choose not to use Jackson in shadow coverage, that might be even better for Beckham, who would run a number of his routes against Patriots castoffs Malcolm Butler on the outside and Logan Ryan in the slot. Monday MLB DFS Breakdown (Oct. 12): Can Max Fried Slow the Red-Hot Dodgers? Start Julio Jones or Courtland Sutton in Week 1? Christian Kirk, Arizona Cardinals ($4,700 DK, $6,000 FD): Kirk averaged 10.1 DraftKings points last year across his nine games with at least 70% of the offensive snaps — with Sam Bradford and Josh Rosen at quarterback — and now with Kyler Murray throwing him the ball he gets to go against a Lions defense that was No.
No one. Unsurprisingly, we’re projecting Beckham to have a position-high ownership rate, and as enticing as Beckham is, his popularity might make him hard to roster in guaranteed prize pools. Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati Bengals ($5,800 DK, $6,900 FD): Boyd is in line for a massive boost in targets with A.J.
color:#fff; Start Julio Jones or D.J. 2015-18: Julio – 6,401 Julio doesn’t need to score touchdowns in order to be one of the best receivers in any given slate.

The 2019 NFL regular season is upon us. In fact, Jennings is pretty bullish on the entire Vikings offense for this game.

Fantasy Injury Updates: Julio Jones, Davante Adams, Michael Thomas, more affect Week 4 start 'em, sit 'em decisions Jacob Camenker 10/2/2020 Thousands of mink die after virus outbreaks at … Green (ankle) on the sideline, and he leads all receivers with his floor projection and +2.86 Projected Plus/Minus on DraftKings. In Week 11 last year, Jackson tailed T.Y. And when he played last year, he had a Harvin-like stat line: 39-494-5 receiving on 65 targets and 8-84-2 rushing in 13 games. There’s definitely a case of OBJ FOMO going around. 1 option in the Freedman Model. Start Julio Jones or D.J. In his six-game sample to close the year, Samuel was priced between $3,900 and $4,500 on DraftKings, and he hit his salary-based expectation five times, putting up a +3.94 Plus/Minus. Julio has still averaged 6.2 touchdowns per season over the past half decade. ET game against the Panthers approaches.


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